Retirement reform debate heats up – Does the ORPP foreshadow the future?

By most accounts, the Ontario Liberal Party’s majority election victory was unexpected, particularly for the opposition parties that defeated the then-minority government’s budget to force the election. Regardless, the budget has now been reintroduced, and probably will be passed by the legislature pretty much intact.

A centrepiece of the budget is the proposed Ontario Retirement Pension Plan (ORPP). Beyond the implications for Ontarians, this initiative could tip the balance on retirement income security discussions elsewhere in the country. Arguably, that’s what it was intended to do, at least in part.

Somewhat provocatively in the pre-election budget, the proposal was cast against “the federal government’s decision to shut down discussions on an enhancement to the CPP [Canada Pension Plan]” In response, the ORPP is positioned to “build on the key features of the CPP, and could later be integrated with the CPP should negotiations on an enhancement be successful in the future.”

So what does this made-in-Ontario alternative look like?

ORPP design features

In structure, the ORPP appears to parallel the key features of the CPP.

Employers and employees will be required to share the burden of premium payments equally. The premium rate will be 1.9% (3.8% combined) up to a maximum annual earnings threshold of $90,000. (This threshold is expressed in 2014 dollars, to be indexed annually.) Premiums will not be required below a low-income threshold. Subject to further consultation, that may in fact end up mirroring the (non-indexed) CPP annual basic exemption of $3,500.

Total annual contributions are projected to be approximately $3.5 billion. Administration and investment management would be in the hands of a publicly run body operating at arm’s length from the government. At the same time, the budget text intimates some kind of coordination with the private sector, mentioning the desire to “leverage” the expertise of pension fund managers and the strong financial services sector in Ontario.

Like the CPP, ORPP pensions will essentially fall within the defined-benefit category, allowing individuals to plan based on a predicable retirement income stream. The aim is to achieve a 15% replacement rate up to the maximum earnings threshold mentioned above. By comparison, the CPP uses a 25% replacement rate, with the current upper threshold being $52,500 (again indexed annually).

Examples of the combined effect of the CPP and ORPP are provided in the budget, though caution should be exercised as to the applicability in real life. In principle, someone with career earnings over 40 years of $52,500 (2014 dollars) could see a 60% increase over the CPP alone, and someone with a $90,000 annual income over those years could see a doubling over CPP alone.

Importantly, benefits are to be earned as contributions are made. In effect, a person will not be grandfathered into a larger pension (as a burden on younger generations) than what the person’s own premiums have paid for.

Implementation

The government plans to consult with employers and labour in the coming months to gauge and minimize the impact on businesses in Ontario. In addition, coordination with federal counterparts will be necessary to get the ORPP operational.

There is a commitment to release “further technical details later this year prior to introducing legislation.” Without splitting hairs too much, there is no more specific date for when the legislation may be introduced. Still, this should proceed at a reasonable pace, as the planned introduction is 2017, to coincide with expected reductions in Employment Insurance premiums.

Employer implementation is to apply on a staged basis, beginning with the largest employers. No details are given on how large that is, how many size categories there may be or the length of time that will be staggered among them. As well, ORPP enrolment would not be required for “those already participating in a comparable workplace pension plan.” Again, clarification is required on this issue.

Once those details are ironed out, a given employer will still have a two-year phase-in period for contribution rates. Presumably this means that the contribution rate will begin at a lower level that escalates to plateau at 1.9% over two years.

Cross-country dialogue?

The ORPP is explicitly premised on the CPP, both in terms of the rationale for its introduction and the foundation for its operation. Additionally, the budget makes numerous references to the potential for collaborating with the federal government and other provinces and territories.

With the ORPP having been an election issue and a newly elected majority government in place, there is little question as to the path Ontario is taking. The question now is whether it will have company.

New OAS option begins July 1, 2013 – Deferral decision on turning 65

About six months ago in this space, I wrote about the provision introduced in the 2012 Federal Budget that allows for deferral of Old Age Security (OAS).  To recap:

  • Beginning July 1, 2013, the OAS pension need not be taken immediately upon reaching the current qualification age of 65 (moving to age 67 beginning in 2023).  
  • The new option allows an otherwise pensioner to defer commencement of OAS payments beyond the qualification date (currently the 65th birthday month) for as long as five years.  
  • For each month deferred, a premium of 0.6% will be added to the pension, which works out to 7.2% for one year, or as much as 36% if deferral is for the full five years.

Ideal age to begin?

Since that earlier article, I have had further conversations in meetings and our Infoservice has fielded a number of calls on the notion of the ‘crossover point’.  Conceptually this is a comparison of starting the program at two given ages (year and month) to determine the point at which one might be indifferent between the two start dates.  (This concept has come up for years in reference to the Canada Pension Plan, which has even more complications than what is being discussed here with respect to OAS alone.)

For example, if you took your full OAS at 65 versus the 136% at age 70, at what age would you have received exactly the same total nominal dollars?  If you live past that age then receipts will have been maximized if the deferred start date had been chosen, and vice versa.  Necessarily this is a simplistic calculation.  A true measure of the economic trade-off would require a much deeper inquiry, including:

  • An inflation factor to estimate time value of money, or alternatively an assumed rate (and type) of  return on amounts received between the first and second start dates,
  • Household circumstances, including spouse’s RRSP/RRIF and other savings/income sources, OAS entitlement, current age and life expectancy, and
  • Marginal tax rate, including the effect that further income may have upon provincial and federal tax credits, and potential clawback of OAS itself.

So while generally I continue to resist this as effectively amounting to a guesstimate – and a potentially misleading one at that – the curiosity factor clearly persists.  For the sake of scratching that itch, we decided to do the arithmetic, but with the proviso that this should be viewed as an academic exercise only.  

Common comparison ages

For simplicity we assumed monthly indexing (actual is quarterly), effectively meaning that we could calculate the ages without the need to know/use current or later actual OAS payment amounts.  In the accompanying table we are showing full calendar years, but we did in fact calculate the comparisons across the whole array of 61 possible start months.

As you can see at the extreme comparing age 65 to age 70, the total receipts would be the same at age 84 (rounded up by about a month).  Predictably, as the start age moves up a year, the attained age or indifference point moves forward by one year.  Not shown in the table is the comparison of a mere one month deferral for someone turning 65 – for interest, the attained age would be age 79. 

A year to think on it?

Along the way, one caller to our InfoService posed a particularly interesting question: What are the implications for those seeking retroactive OAS payments upon making a late application?  As it stands, up to 11 months of past payments may be obtained when a late application is made.

We contacted Service Canada for guidance, and confirmed that retroactive payments may still be obtained.  An applicant can choose to receive the lump sum and have ongoing payments based on that earlier qualification month, or start monthly payments fresh based on the indexed figure.  Don’t leave it too late though, as they recommend applying six months ahead of any intended commencement date, in order to accommodate for processing time.

My Service Canada Account – Estimating your CPP retirement pension

Do you ever wonder how much you will receive from Canada Pension Plan and Old Age Security?  It’s a question that likely has entered more conversations in the last few years as public pensions have come under greater scrutiny.  

Knowing your public pension allows you to more effectively set your private savings goals and retirement spending expectations.  Of course CPP and OAS will always be subject to occasional modification, but such changes are almost always incremental in nature.  Accordingly, the best estimate of future entitlement is the current system, with the proviso to revisit periodically.

There are two linked government resources that enable you to use your own historic data and future intentions for this purpose.  This month’s article features CPP management with your My Service Canada Account. [Footnote]  Next month, we’ll see how that information is combined with OAS and private savings in the Canadian Retirement Income Calculator.

Accessing My Service Canada Account

For starters, sign-up.  

While the service is free, one must obtain password access by registering on the Service Canada website.  For security, an initial password is sent by Canada Post to your address on record with the government.  You will have a chance to confirm the address, so if it is incorrect then you can call and speak to someone, but otherwise it can be done online.

CPP earnings and contributions

In my case, I’m a decade or two away from starting CPP and OAS, so my personal interest is to take a peek at my CPP contribution history.

A table shows all calendar years in which you made contributions (ie., paid CPP premiums) and the amount of pensionable earnings upon which those were based.  There are notations in respective years where you were [B] below the basic exemption, contributing at the [M] maximum, [S] self-employed, and where a [CS] credit split with a spouse may have applied.  There is even a new notation for [P] post-retirement benefits, being the credit that applies beginning in 2012 for premium contributions made when receiving a retirement pension while continuing to work. 

If you want to obtain a printed official statement, you can order it online. On the other hand, if you disagree with the record then there are instructions as to necessary documentation and procedure you can take to correct any errors. 

Estimating monthly CPP benefits

Now here’s the fun part.  

With a couple clicks, you can get a quick estimate of your CPP retirement pension in current dollars if you were 65 and began your pension today.  Though this may be a simplistic way to express it, in fairness it is easier to understand than to show an indexed amount years or decades into the future.  Alternatives are also offered for retirement commencing early at 60 or late at 70, based on the respective 0.6% and 0.7% monthly adjustments that will be fully implemented by 2016. 

Of further practical reference are the figures for the CPP disability pension and related amounts for dependent children.  Finally (literally), there is a summary of the type and amounts available on death for lump sum payment, survivor spouse and dependent children.

If you want to go further to integrate the pension figure with other retirement savings and income sources, the site provides a hyperlink to the Canadian Retirement Income Calculator.  That’s next month’s column.

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[Footnote]: The service is also a central communications hub for applications, claims, monitoring and general information on Employment Insurance.  For this article however, the focus is on Canada Pension Plan.