In his tenure as federal Finance Minister, Jim Flaherty oversaw one of the most challenging economies in living memory. He initiated reforms and introduced innovations that will have longstanding impact on Canadian society.
While in my opinion he did not actively court controversy, by the nature of his role opinions about his policies were often divided. Still, he was clearly not shy about expressing his personal views, at times irrespective of his political allegiance. Case in point, just before tabling his last Budget, he broke ranks with the Conservative party stance on the touted Family Tax Cut, suggesting that this past election promise may no longer be appropriate, at least not in its current form.
Promise to double TFSA room
The other key election promise from the 2011 election campaign was about doubling TFSA room. Both of these tax goodies were premised on the Conservatives obtaining a full term in office and reaching a balanced budget. With a majority in power and a surplus projected after this year, the moment of truth will come in next year’s budget, to be delivered by Mr. Flaherty’s successor, Joe Oliver.
Introduced in 2008 (for first use in 2009), the tax-free savings account was greeted with strong consumer take-up from the start. Thus, the promise to provide more of a good thing made for good electioneering. Whether it makes for good economic and social policy is another matter.
On its face and indeed by its name, the TFSA is a threat to tax revenue. To the extent that it alleviates cost elsewhere in government and/or stimulates later economic activity though, it may very well be net revenue positive over the long term.
But how does it look at the individual taxpayer level?
Profile of TFSA holders
In the Tax and Expenditures Report 2012, the Department of Finance produced a statistical report on the TFSA over its first three years.
Total contributions to TFSAs (in $ billions) from 2009 to 2011 rose from $19B to $25B to $30B, with average contribution per TFSA holder fairly consistently being a bit shy of $4,000. Of course averages can be deceiving – On average, LeBron James and I are over 6 feet tall … but I’m not about to try out for the NBA.
Given the annual limit of $5,000 (as it was then, now $5,500), it doesn’t take a quantum leap in logic to see that the average is driven in large part by those who are capable of contributing the maximum. Conversely, the legislated maximum is effectively irrelevant to those with less disposable income, who are instead bounded by their limited financial means. In support, the report notes that participation by those with incomes under $20,000 was about 20%, compared to 58% usage by $200,000+ income earners.
Presumably the TFSA is not intended to merely be a tax giveaway.
Much as it is appreciated by those of us in more stable financial circumstances, does it really make sense to simply double the room? Those with the capacity will contribute more – some all the way up to the new maximum – and those of lesser means will contribute the same as they are now. The average will increase, but toward what end?
A RRIF to TFSA option
Part of the rationale for introduction of TFSAs was that the RRSP-RRIF savings regime was not effectively serving the needs of lower income earners. This should not be misunderstood as meaning poverty level alone.
Even those earning the average industrial wage (for reference the CPP YPME of $52,500 in 2014), deductible contributions to RRSPs may come out in retirement at the same or higher effective marginal tax rates once the clawback/loss of tax credits (for example the age credit) and social supports are factored in. Consider as well, the loss of tax-sheltering room through the forced withdrawal of RRSP-RRIF funds upon reaching age 71.
In those respects, the 2012 report emphasizes some encouraging observations. Seniors are using TFSAs in somewhat higher numbers than the general population, and the subset of Guaranteed Income Supplement (GIS) recipients are highlighted as contributing 3% more than low income individuals generally. Both aspects trend positively in those first few years, and hopefully are continuing.
Thus, without denying the doubling of TFSA room to the masses in the next budget, perhaps that announcement can be accompanied with a policy change that encourages more efficient savings for seniors specifically. It could be as simple as allowing additional TFSA room based on the after-tax value RRIF withdrawals (with appropriate age thresholds and upper income limits), maybe even with some concessions for associated clawbacks. Effectively implemented, this could be a tax neutral procedure.
While such an approach does not create more savings, it does create more TFSA room. And even if that larger room is not ultimately used, those affected seniors will be encouraged to migrate existing savings over to a vehicle that can be more tax-efficient in their circumstances. I believe that would serve a useful purpose, beyond the simple arithmetic of doubling TFSA room.
I wonder if Mr. Flaherty would approve?